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Shifting Currents: Positioning for a New Monetary Era explores how a changing monetary environment is redefining global investment opportunities. FAB’s Global Investment Outlook 2026 emphasizes the dynamic nature of global markets as monetary policy; capital flows and technological innovation reshape the investment landscape. The report will explore how investors can anticipate and navigate these shifts, balancing risk and opportunity across geographies and asset classes. We highlight both the macroeconomic ‘currents’ driving the market and the tactical strategies required to stay ahead.
2026 GIO presents what we believe investors and our clients need to know to generate good total returns this year and in the future. The thoughts of our team of seasoned experts across the bank have been brought together here, explaining how we see the world, macroeconomics, geopolitics, and key risks.
Artificial Intelligence investment has reached unprecedented heights. Yet beneath this surge lies a critical challenge faced by investors, that being distinguishing between truly transformative value opportunities from speculative fervour and market hype. In this article we offer insight to what the future may hold and what sectors are likely to benefit. To quote bill Gates “People often overestimate what will happen in the next two years and underestimate what will happen in ten.”
The 2026 global macro and interest rate outlook stands at a critical inflection point. The median dot-plot projection from FOMC members—around 3.1% for the Fed funds rate by year-end—suggests a modest easing in terms of overarching sentiment, but not a dramatic pivot to ultra-low rates. Persistent inflation risks, (Federal Reserve) leadership shifts, and external policy shocks, at a time of strengthening macroeconomic and credit fundamentals across the GCC & Egypt region, will all create challenging crosswinds of risks and opportunities for investors.
The world faces another year of risks and uncertainty, including shifting strategic alliances, trade wars, rising levels of cybercrime and sadly ongoing regional conflicts and further climate-related disasters. However, there will of course be opportunities too, such as greater AI adoption by businesses and institutions. This will not only lead to new potential breakthroughs in medical research, but also transform, healthcare, manufacturing, logistics, cybersecurity, and finance, leading to greater productivity, a reduction in red tape, better customer service and perhaps new innovations in the field of renewable energy.
The integration of AI into the energy sector is revolutionizing sustainability efforts. AI ability to optimize energy consumption, improve infrastructure resilience and enable smarter resource use is transforming the ESG landscape, creating new value chains that position green tech a cornerstone of the 21st century economy.
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In this article we take stock and explore how the US Federal Reserve’s evolving stance along with other global central banks regarding interest rate policy will shape market outcomes. Here in the GCC we will consider regional fiscal strategies – in particular the GCC-led diversification efforts and geopolitical dynamics that will determine opportunities and risks for investors in the coming year.
The GCC asset management industry has experienced significant growth and transformation over the past 25 years. The industry has grown from a modest size to a substantial $2.2 trillion in AUM as of the end of 2024. In this article we chart the path of this growth and how regional sovereign wealth funds have come to the fore on the industries global stage.
As the global economy turns the page on a turbulent but resilient 2025, investors enter 2026 facing a fundamentally different landscape - less defined by macro shocks and more by structural transitions that are finally converging into tangible results. 2026 is not expected to be a year of exuberant market expansion nor a year of recession-driven pessimism. Instead, it is a year defined by earnings reality, structural productivity, and a more level playing field across sectors and regions.
The fixed income market is expected to remain attractive in 2026, with solid returns anticipated through coupon income rather than price appreciation. The yield curve is likely to remain steep due to the expected increase in supply in government, municipal, and corporate bonds. Central banks bias towards easing creating a favourable backdrop for bond investors.
After a stop-start 2025, the global Commercial real estate market enters 2026 with cautious optimism, sentiment indicators and direct investment volumes point to gradual normalization. Across major developed markets, central banks have begun easing policy, narrowing bid–ask spreads and improving financing conditions for high-quality assets. Leasing activity is rising in select sectors and regions. These global trends set the stage for how capital costs and investment strategies are evolving as we move into 2026.
The investment world is changing. Private markets and structured products—once the domain of large institutions—are now within reach for a broader range of investors. This shift is driven by innovation in fund design, smarter product architecture, and evolving market infrastructure Private markets and structured products are no longer optional—they’re essential tools for building resilient, forward-looking portfolios.
As investors rethink asset allocation in today’s rapidly changing world, they may discover that the most powerful ideas are the ones that have stood the test of time. Diversification is one of those ideas. Its relevance has not diminished; if anything, it has grown. In a world where complexity is rising and outcomes are increasingly difficult to predict; a well-diversified portfolio remains the most reliable foundation for long-term success.
